onecap · flow 2026

One capital.
Twelve layers.
Zero stories.

A quantitative multi-asset fund. Four streams. One process. We wait until the chorus is loud.

See the streams
12
Confluence layers stacked
4
Asset streams live
2026
Flow
Estonia AIFM-lightMiCA-compliantBDO-auditedBybit · Saxo · Polymarket
· 0 open · live
We wait. The market shows up.

The thesis

We wait. The market shows up.

Twelve independent layers vote on every position. We act when the chorus is loud — and only then.

Read the thesis →

02 / The method

Twelve
witnesses.
One vote.

Each idea has to pass twelve independent checks — filings, flows, regulatory, macro, tape — before any capital moves. No layer sees the others. Confluence does the work, not narrative.

How the layers stack
01Insider buyingfiling
0213D / 13G activistfiling
0313F institutionalfiling
04Catalyst calendarevent
05Earnings drift (PEAD)event
06Federal contractsflow
07FDA / regulatoryflow
🔒Layers 08–12 are part of the research note. Educational content for the desk reading list.

03 / FROM SIGNAL TO POSITION

Eight gates. One position.

Every idea passes eight independent gates before any capital moves. No layer sees the others. The pipeline does the work; conviction does the rest.

01
Universe
8,400+ tickers across 4 streams.
02
Hunter scan
12 layers, every 30 minutes.
03
Confluence score
Must pass score 60 to advance.
04
Macro overlay
Regime modifier 0.7 to 1.3.
05
Risk Governor
Capital cap, correlation, exposure.
06
Agent vote
6 specialists weigh in.
07
Approval gate
Manager sign-off for live.
08
Deploy
Sandbox to paper to live, auto-demote on breach.
0.15%of today's 8,400 candidates reach Live.

Hunter · Latest signals

Where the chorus
is loudest today.

RTX
Catalyst
36
Confluence score
ACN
PEAD
36
Confluence score
BA
Insider
34
Confluence score
MNR
Catalyst
34
Confluence score
MRK
Insider
34
Confluence score
RRBI
PEAD
33
Confluence score
FGBI
Insider
33
Confluence score
HSY
Catalyst
32
Confluence score

05 / TRACK RECORD

Honest numbers.
Paper today. Live capital Q3.

Flow 2026 paper-trade aggregate across all four streams. Live capital deploys Q3 once 90-day sandbox metrics clear governance gates.

Aggregate equity index
100.00
+0.00% since flow
Equity curve loading…
Sharpe
0.72
Max DD
1.4%
Win rate
Trades
Flow
2026

Paper-trade simulation. Past performance does not predict future results. Live capital from Q3 2026.

06 / FEES THAT FACE UPWARD

Zero fee
until you win.

Industry standard is 2/20. We took mgmt to zero. Quarterly high-water mark crystallization. We only get paid when you do.

Management fee0%
Performance fee30% above HWM
HWM cadenceQuarterly
Entry fee5%
Industry standard 2/202/20
Investor keeps 64%
onecap 0/30 HWM0/30
Investor keeps 70%
Worked example · 10% gross year
Industry 2/20
Investor keeps 6.4%
onecap 0/30
Investor keeps 7.0%

07 / THE STACK

Tools you
can't buy.

Three in-house systems do the work. The fund is the surface. The infrastructure is the edge.

Hunter
Multi-source confluence scanner
Form 4, 13D/G, 13F, USAspending, openFDA, COT — fused into a 0–100 confluence score, recomputed every 30 minutes.
12 layers · 8.4k tickers · 30-min refresh
Risk Governor
Capital envelope and auto-demote
Per-strategy correlation guard, exposure caps, daily kill-switch. Auto-demotes any deployed strategy when drawdown breaks 2× backtest expectation.
5 envelope axes · breach in <60s
onecap Copilot
Manager AI with audited write access
Real-time fund control: NAV, investors, Hunter, macro, drafting. Write actions require manager confirmation. Every call is audited.
30+ tools · audit trail · 0 fake actions

Where we execute

Interactive Brokers
tastytrade
Bybit
Polymarket
Interactive Brokers
tastytrade
Bybit
Polymarket
Interactive Brokers
tastytrade
Bybit
Polymarket

Live positions · Confluence fund

Open today.
2026-05-07

RTX
RTX Corp
Aerospace
Entry
$176.74
Mark
$174.29
P&L-1.39%
MRK
Merck & Co
Pharma
Entry
$113.56
Mark
$111.62
P&L-1.71%
MNR
Mach Natural
Energy
Entry
$13.39
Mark
$13.15
P&L-1.80%
BA
Boeing
Aerospace
Entry
$229.93
Mark
$232.51
P&L+1.12%

10 / RUN BY

Desk discipline. Modern stack.

Matěj Drechsler — quantitative trading systems since 2018. onecap operates with the desk discipline of a 1990s prop shop and the tools of 2026: Hunter scanner, Risk Governor, Copilot AI, multi-asset routing, all built in-house.

5
Years building scanners
100k+
Insider filings parsed
4
Streams shipped
MD
Matěj Drechsler · Founder · CIO

11 / QUESTIONS, ANSWERED

Before you ask.

Who can invest?+

Qualified / professional investors in EU/EEA jurisdictions, family offices, and institutional vehicles. KYC and accreditation review required before subscription.

What's the minimum subscription?+

€100,000 initial. €25,000 incremental. Quarterly subscription windows align with HWM crystallization.

How does the 0/30 HWM fee work?+

Zero management fee. 30% performance fee charged only on returns above the high-water mark, crystallized quarterly. If quarter-end NAV is below the prior peak, no performance fee until you've fully recovered. 5% one-off entry fee on subscription.

What's the liquidity profile?+

Quarterly redemption windows with 30-day notice. No long lock-up. Investors retain unit registry; redemption proceeds settle within 14 business days of quarter-end.

Where is custody and is it segregated?+

Bybit (crypto stream, demo trading account during paper phase, live segregated wallet from Q3), Saxo Bank (equities and LEAPS, sub-account under fund), Polymarket (event arbitrage, USDC). All custody is segregated; investor capital is never commingled with operating capital.

What's the AIFM regulatory structure?+

Estonia limited partnership fund (LPF) under the small-AIFM regime, registered with the Estonian FSA. Annual audit by BDO. Quarterly reporting. Investor letters quarterly. Statutory documents on the Documents page.

Anything else? investors@onecap.fund

For qualified investors

Ready when
you are.

Quarterly subscriptions. Audited statements. Direct line to the desk.

investors@onecap.fund